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COMMISSION ON THE POWERS AND ELECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY FOR WALES
MINUTES OF PROCEEDINGS

of the

EVIDENCE OF:
WELSH ASSEMBLY GOVERNMENT FIRST MINISTER,
Rt Hon RHODRI MORGAN

held at
National Museum & Gallery, Cardiff

on

12TH December 2002

LORD RICHARD: Thank you for coming. I wonder if we can start off by asking you to identify yourselves and colleagues for the sake of the record. Mr Rawlings we know quite well now, and we shall know him better by the time we have finished this Commission.
MR MORGAN: I am Rhodri Morgan and I am the First Minister. On my left is Hugh Rawlings. On my right is Steve Pomeroy. They are my constitutional experts, and they fill in the huge lacunae in my knowledge of constitutional law and the relationships between Whitehall in a technical sense.
If you would like me to go straight into my opening remarks, I will proceed by spending two or three minutes on what I think are the essential elements of background that colour my views of the relationship between the Assembly and Whitehall, the Assembly and other public bodies in Wales and the key issues which I think the Commission has been set up to look at, namely would it work better if it were any different in this way or that way? My views are coloured by the fact that I have the perspective of a former Welsh Office civil servant as well as being a minister and then First Minister in the Assembly.
I say that because of the need to see a kind of comparison with Scotland and the system that they have now and to try to work out how different things would be in Wales if aspects of the Scottish dispensation were in some way translated into Wales. My experience as a civil servant in the old Welsh Office in the mid and late Sixties, early Seventies, and my experiences of the relationship between Wales and Scotland and Whitehall then were that the Welsh Office in its early years, the first six or seven years when I was there, was very much walking before it could run and was very much an imitative body, not an initiative-taking body. The psychology of civil servants in the Welsh Office at the time, until 1972 – I had no experience after that really, although a bit of experience when I was with the DTI – was always that in the Welsh Office it would be assumed that you would get your promotion, if you like, by keeping your nose clean with Whitehall, and that Scottish Office civil servants got their promotion by giving Whitehall a bloody nose, the complete opposite. That was related, I think, to a bit of psychology, national culture, but also to the fact that the capabilities for policy making within the Scottish Office had been accumulating not only back to the 1870s, when the Scottish Office had been set up as a separate department of state, but also really to the separate corpus of law which had survived the Act of Union and went back to the Middle Ages and which was clearly not the case in Wales. So this question of whether to be innovative or imitative was a very sharp distinction even when I was a civil servant back in the Sixties and Seventies.
That has a bearing on the question of the Assembly and its powers, and whether, if we had taken a different model of devolution through the Government of Wales Act, we would have different, and not just different but better results now. It was not just a matter within the Labour party, but obviously that was the party that I belonged to. There were five or six schools of thought which produced a compromise which produced the Government of Wales Act, both as regards what happened within the Labour party to give us the Act in its original form, and then a final compromise version which emerged at the end of the day, with the one major change then giving clearer ministerial responsibility following the amendments in the House of Lords. But if you think of the compromise from within our own party from the late Nineties, through the election, the referendum and the bill, and then the Act, I suppose there were five or six schools of thought. There were those who said there should be absolutely no devolution – I suppose Llew Smith would be the most obvious holder of that view, and he continues to do so. Then there would be the minimalist view, executive-only devolution or sometimes expressed more crudely that there would be no devolution in Wales that gives the new Assembly any greater powers than the old Glamorgan County Council. That was school two. There was the third school, which said that we should have an Assembly and that it should have secondary legislative powers. There was a fourth school which believed in what you would call extensive devolution, where you would have primary legislative power but not tax-varying powers, and then finally there was the Welsh Labour Action/Scottish Labour Action school of thought, which I think John Smith was said to have believed in during his period as leader of the Labour party, that Wales and Scotland should have exactly the same dispensation, and that it should be the model that you can see in Scotland now, namely primary legislative and tax-varying powers.
The interesting point is that the model which we got was the one in the middle, namely three, but even within three, you could see two schools of thought. One was that three would be it and it would remain three, namely moderate devolution, secondary legislative powers, and then that could evolve; in other words, it could evolve if there were an extensive amount of agreement with Whitehall about the use of Henry VIII powers or some form of flexibility that might happen over time. But again, looking back to the history of the old Welsh Office, it did start when I worked there, and it started as a very small body, with 250 civil servants. It was really the branch office of the old Ministry of Housing and Local Government in 1964, with a bit of advisory capability to help Jim Griffiths, as the first Secretary of State, meet deputations and delegations over coal mine closures or whatever it might be, but it evolved over time by the acquisition of additional powers extensively. Once every five years some major bit of Whitehall power, Trade & Industry or Education or Agriculture or Health, would gradually be acquired by the Welsh Office, so it finished up probably ten times bigger than it started back in 1964.
Would the same thing happen with the Assembly? Would there be the same evolution, or was it seen as the guillotine coming down and a transfer from Whitehall and Westminster to Wales of the kind of ultimate power of not any longer having one single locus of power of "the Cabinet", and that within Scotland and Wales you would have alternative sources of power which did not have, in the end, to do what the collective decision of the Cabinet was, but that the process of evolution stopped at that point, because that was the historic compromise which you were reaching, if you like; in other words, you were not going to extend the powers after devolution, because, for Heaven’s sake, you had got devolution, and the act of transferring the power away from the Cabinet and the single source of power was enough, and then it should stop; no more. Or you could take the other view, exquisitely described by Jean-Paul Sartre in talking about de-Stalinisation, when he said, "It is de-Stalinisation which will de-Stalinise the de-Stalinisers," which I have never quite understood but which I assume means that in the end, you cannot stop the tide when it is flowing in, and if something is flowing, it is better to go with the flow and it is not a matter of intent, and there is nothing you can do about it; it is just a fatalistic thing which just happens, and if you have an institution, it will acquire additional powers and there will be the tide going that way.

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My last point in terms of the background coloration here is what happened during the passage of the Government of Wales Bill, namely we start off with an executive model in style, a local government model, if you like, in which power is very much shared across the political parties, based on committees, pre the recent reforms of local government. Then the strange thing happens that the party which stands to lose most from a change, namely the Conservative party, in the person of Wyn Roberts, as I recall, in the House of Lords was saying, "No, this is never going to work. You must have clear ministerial responsibility among the Cabinet, and you must have clear functions for ministers, and they must stand or fall by their decisions. You must inject an element of the classic parliamentary model into it," and so quite late in the day really – and it often happens with parliamentary bills, changes and concessions made in the Lords, which you will be only too familiar with, Lord Richard – a bit of the classic parliamentary model is then put on top of the basic pre recent reform local government Cabinet structure local government, and probably it is a very good thing that that did happen, because it would be thoroughly anomalous now if the Government had legislated to change local government so as to separate the powers of the executive from the scrutiny powers of the backbenchers in local government and that that had not taken place in the change made in the Lords in the Government of Wales Act, giving us the hybrid model that we have now, where we do have ministers – secretaries as they were originally, but that confused everybody so we changed the name to minister so that people had some idea what ministers were there for – but you do have this element of hybridity in the model in that ministers sit on committees, they are fully participating members of the committees though they do not chair them, so that there is this blend, if you like, of the old local government structure with the classic parliamentary model.
The reason why I mentioned that it was the Conservative party that brought this in was that, if you like, the philosophy behind the referendum campaign was certainly to try and persuade everybody that this was not going to be a sinecure for hack Labour politicians, who would be able to walk in there and automatically get majorities in every election, it did not matter how tempting the temptations of a monopoly of one-party power going on into the great blue yonder was, and that there would be considerable hurdles put in the place of one-party power, single-party in Scotland, but there had to be, as it were, an ability to bring the other parties in. Yet the party that perhaps had the least chance ever of being in a governing coalition decided that it was better, for the sake of constitutional clarity of the model, that there must be ministerial responsibility, even though it meant that they would probably, for all the historical reasons that we know of, be least likely to benefit from that change in the sense of participating in power. Obviously, being in permanent opposition is just as bad as being permanently in power in a way, but the constitutional clarity argument won out over this "Who’s going to have a share of the power?" argument.
In the first three and a half years of our existence we have attempted to take that one step further, that clarification of the relationship between the executive and the backbench role of the Assembly, the separation of powers, through the Assembly review of procedures, when again, with all-party backing, it was said, "What can you do to stretch within the Government of Wales Act?" and in particular that first line of the first clause, which says, ‘There shall be a body corporate called the Welsh Assembly’ to which there is no equivalent in the Scottish Parliament. The Scotland Act simply says, "There will be a Scottish Parliament" and does not define it as a body corporate; it just assumes that parliaments are sui generis anyway and you do not have to define them. So why do you have to define the Welsh Assembly? I was never clear about that, but anyway, it is defined, and that is what we live with. It is in the law, and that first clause and everything else is subsidiary to that.
Within that, to what degree can you stretch further, without breaching the Government of Wales Act, the distinction between the executive side and the backbench side, the legislative side, the scrutiny side, the democratic accountability for the decisions side of the Assembly? That is what we have sought to do now, with all four parties in support. That is not to say that there are some people who do not hanker after the old model, the old local government model, but it would have been thoroughly anomalous if we had been the only body operating on the old local government model of committees taking decisions on a committee cycle when local government itself, on which it was based, had been ordered by the Local Government Act to dispense with that model. So I am very pleased that that decision was made to change the Act during 1998.
Lastly, can I make some observations on the relationship between us and Whitehall. There is a kind of notional league table, which is not rocket science to pose in terms of the relationship. This is not really about legislative rights. It is frequently about working relationships. Those Whitehall departments with which we do not compete and have a parallel relationship have a very good relationship with us, and they have set out very determinedly to be our Foreign Office as well as the Foreign Office for HMG and to be our Treasury as well as the Treasury of HMG, because we do not have a tax-raising function, we do not have a foreign policy. They have been very good to us and they have set out very consciously to be good, and to make it clear to us that we should never entertain ambitions to have our own foreign policy or tax-raising function, and I think our relationship there has been very good indeed.

Then working through the government departments to those which carry out parallel functions in England, there is always a much greater tension. Finally, you have those bodies where there really is a ragged edge: within transport between road and rail, where we have some functions. We certainly have functions in relation to road, and we have a sort of function in relation to rail, but we do not have a general policy of clear responsibility. That is a ragged edge. The police and fire issue, which I think has been referred to before, is a very ragged edge, and when you are on different budget timing cycles, it does undoubtedly cause problems.

My last remark is that some of the problems are related to the fact that ministers in Whitehall in the departments where the functions are in parallel to us frequently think they are not, and as a result just assume "Wales – oh, that’s devolved. That’s off my radar screen" whereas the civil servants know that we are on the radar screen, because they still hold the budget purse strings or the policy purse strings without the budget purse strings, as in the case of fire. As a result, we are held up sometimes by the fact that the civil servants are taking an interest, which is perfectly proper, because they know the law and they know that they have to, but the ministers do not take an interest, so we go to the ministers and say, "You have got to sort this out," and the minister says, "What have I got to sort out? It’s all down to you, isn’t it?" and we say, "No. We’re having a problem, such and such." They think it is devolved when it is not, and their civil servants know it is not, and the civil servants cannot get it on to the ministerial radar screen because it is not important enough, but they know the law is that they have got to, and so they tend to take a very protective attitude in case they breach some area where they could finish up in front of the Public Accounts Committee or somebody for not having indicated that some resource was not being provided, or had been provided but improperly budgeted for. That can be the ultimate ragged edge in the relationship between us and Whitehall.

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LORD RICHARD: Thank you very much indeed. It seems to me that, as the First Minister, you are in the best position of anybody to be able to tell us how the thing is actually working at the moment. In the evidence we have heard from various witnesses, it is clear that an awful lot of the way in which it works at the moment depends upon the relationship between individual ministers in the department here and individual ministers in the departments in London. It may be that up to now the Assembly has not been in existence long enough for there to be major divergences between what goes on in Cardiff and what goes on in Whitehall. Do you think those divergences are going to increase? Last night you said you thought there was going to be a divide. There are three points, I think. One is how it is working at the moment, and secondly, do you think there will be an increasing divide between Cardiff and Whitehall on the policy side, and if there is, how do you think that has to be corrected in the constitutional set-up?

MR MORGAN: We cannot control whether there is a divide or not because obviously we do what we think is right, and then we will notice that Whitehall is going down another path. I suppose you could say that is the emergence of a divide, but it is not the deliberate creation of a divide; it is simply that that is what happens over time if there is more than one source of initiative taking and power. You then turn back to the issue which I raised right at the beginning of my remarks, namely how capable is the Welsh machine, if you like, of being innovative rather than imitative? Although the Welsh Office that we inherited in 1999 was very different from the one that I left in 1972 – still a baby really then – it was not a baby in 1999, but still much less innovative than the Scottish Office. Therefore, you say, "Let us not try and develop policies when we haven’t got the policy-making capability to do it." So that is a fairly simple point, that you should not run before you have learned to walk, but I think certainly we are walking at a fast pace, and we are not stumbling. That is the really important thing: taking it at a healthy pace that you can manage, and that is in line with your innovative capability, and gradually dispensing with the instinct to imitate that was developed by the Welsh Office of signing all those bills over all those years, where it was exactly the same as the Secretary of State for the Environment and it was the Secretary of State for Wales instead, with certain exceptions.
TED ROWLANDS: You can over-egg this argument. I think your experience stopped before 1974. If you had been in the Welsh Office from 1974-1979, for example, you would have seen a very different mood. I was there briefly, and the Community Land Act of 1975 or 1976 is as good a model of a modern dual legislation as you have in 2002.
MR MORGAN: I would not deny that for one minute. I left on 1 January 1972. I had a lot of dealings with them through till 1974, because I was still a civil servant although I was seeing it from the other end, Whitehall. Not post 1974, as you pointed out, Ted.
TED ROWLANDS: One Secretary of State sent a minute to his minister saying, "Thou shalt justify conforming. Thou shalt non-conform otherwise."
MR MORGAN: Ted and I have had many interesting conversations on the London Paddington to Cardiff train about that Act and other things relating to that period, when we were both Members of Parliament. As I say, I do not want to over-egg that particular pudding, but I would still say, relative to the Scottish Office, the policy-making capability and the instinct, if you like, to be imitative rather than innovative was still only modestly developed, and we have pushed that ahead, because it is very important that people realise that if you are going to be given this car of devolution, you want to take it out of the garage for a spin occasionally, and use the powers and see what you can make of it that adapts the policies to the needs as you perceive them of the people of Wales, and then if Whitehall decides occasionally to copy you, that is fine, because that was our first experience, funnily enough. The very first bill which we thought that we would get through the Whitehall machine as a Wales-only bill, the Learning and Skills Bill, was simply taken over by Whitehall’s interest in it, and it is not a Wales-only bill now; it is an England and Wales bill, but essentially it is a Wales-origin bill although it is not a Wales-only bill, which is a very odd example. That was proof of Bill Clinton’s famous remark about the federal system, with the 50 states in the USA, meaning that you have a living laboratory, if you like, where you get points of initiative that can come from anywhere, and if another state wants to copy what is going in Wisconsin, and so on, they are free to do it, because you have so many different examples you can draw from. In the legislative initiative sense, the Learning and Skills Bill was the last example that any constitutional lawyer predicting the consequences of devolution would ever have foreseen, but it did happen in the first 18 months of the existence of the Assembly, of a borrowing by a Ministry. That is imitation being the sincerest form of flattery. We were being innovative, and on that occasion it was Whitehall that was being imitative.
VIVIENNE SUGAR: Could you stay on the Bill Clinton quote and the federal relations in the USA, and describe the difference about a United States state having the freedom to run the car in a different way, and the question which Lord Richard was asking really was about what happens when the Assembly wants to do something and needs the active co-operation of Whitehall to be able to do it, and that co-operation is not forthcoming?
MR MORGAN: I am trying to think of an example. These are not necessarily about trying to frame bills now. They may be things which we are doing which are perfectly within our powers, but where there is an interception with, say, the benefits system. The Scots have this big-time. There is no difference between Wales and Scotland where it relates to the benefits system, because the benefits system remains a UK preserve. There is the example of what happened as regards the Scottish introduction of free personal care, which meant a reclaiming by the benefits system of Incapacity Benefit on a fairly large scale, and we were trying to avoid that on the Assembly learning grants when we brought those in. We had very delicate, long-drawn-out, quite tough negotiations with the Department of Work and Pensions before we could get them to disregard the small number of students that there would be who were already on either Income Support or on another form of benefit, but we did not want them to lose that benefit, in the same way that people do not lose the benefit when they are on hardship payments and so on. I think it was fortunate, really, that we were able to look at the Scottish experience in the classic United States manner and say, "Right, they have a serious problem, and in a way they are subsidising the Treasury to some degree now in paying for personal care which if you were previously on Incapacity Benefit or some other form of benefit now comes out of the Scottish budget, not out of HM Treasury." This was not an idea that we thought we should copy when we brought in the Assembly learning grants, for obvious reasons, so we did take a lot of care to use the Scottish example and not follow it, but it took us a long time of hard negotiations.
LORD RICHARD: With Whitehall?
MR MORGAN: With the Department of Work and Pensions, yes, to make sure that the benefit disregard was 100 per cent, whereas it was not 100 per cent for an analogous although different piece of initiative by the Scottish executive in the previous year.
LORD RICHARD: If Whitehall had said no, that would have been it.
MR MORGAN: Nothing is ever final. We might have been able to find another way round it.
TED ROWLANDS: Could you have taken the matter to the Joint Ministerial Council?
MR MORGAN: Yes, that is possible, but that was not really what I was thinking of when I said there were other ways round it. That is the formal dispute resolution procedure, that you can go to the Prime Minister. You must not do that, because you must not ever take anything to the Joint Ministerial Committee final court of arbitration unless you are absolutely sure you are going to win. There would be nothing worse than setting a precedent in which the first case that you take to the Prime Minister for dispute resolution you lose, because you will lose every subsequent one for the next 50 years. You must make sure you win the first one, so do not go.
TED ROWLANDS: That means you will never go.
MR MORGAN: No. That was not what I was thinking of. I was thinking more that there would be other ways of refunding any benefits which had not been successfully disregarded. It did not get that far.
LORD RICHARD: It still raises the same point, which is that at the moment an awful lot depends upon the personal relationships between ministers here and ministers in London, and officials here and officials in London.
MR MORGAN: Yes.
LORD RICHARD: So you have to sort out the problem within the framework you have.
MR MORGAN: That is right.

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LORD RICHARD: If the framework were different, a number of questions arise. One is, would it be easier to sort the problems out? Would the problems not have arisen in that way? The second thing that I am interested in is this: nobody is suggesting that Cardiff is looking for divergences or is deepening differences, but as time goes on, there are bound to be increasing differences, it seems to me, between policies in Cardiff and policies in London, particularly if you do not have to co-ordinate them at an early stage.
MR MORGAN: Yes, I am sure that is true, but I would not like you to think that this is caused by initiative taking. The emphasis in the speech that I made last night was where it was Whitehall that was taking the initiatives, with us staying in the same place, if you like, and therefore the deviation, as you described it, was caused by particular initiatives by Whitehall.
LORD RICHARD: It is the existence of it that is important, not the origin of it.
MR MORGAN: No, it could happen. I am sure it is bound to happen. It is almost inevitable as time goes by. I do not think one should draw the conclusion from that that if you had a different dispensation, you would have a better method of solving problems; in other words, that problems would arise less because you had a clearer break. There is an example as regards Scotland. You cannot get a more semi-detached constitutional settlement than Scotland has, but nevertheless, the intersection, say, with the benefits system, which is really still central, still causes exactly the same problems as are caused for Wales by the Welsh dispensation. So moving to the Scottish dispensation, or borrowing a bit of the Scottish dispensation, would not take that kind of problem away. It just means it might occur less often. I do not know.
TED ROWLANDS: You will have read some of the evidence that we have been receiving and the illustrations of ragged edges. Frustrations with the Home Office came through very clearly. Do you think these are part of the problems of a learning curve at both ends, and a teething period? After all, 1999 to 2002 is nothing in constitutional terms. Or do you think there is something systemic in the system that is going to continually throw up these types of arguments and issues that seem very strong at the moment in the views of ministers or the views of the Assembly?
MR MORGAN: I wish I knew. I think there is probably a teething element in it, but there is an argument against that as well really. If it is a teething problem, then the assumption behind that is that the existence of the rights and responsibilities of a devolved Assembly with its own government in Cardiff will actually rise up the Whitehall radar screen, so that they will have it on their checklist, and they will say, "You had better check with them before you do that, because you are supposed to consult them on this because it says so here," and that they would learn to do that more automatically as the years go by. However, the counter-argument is that they will tend to forget about the existence of Wales and consider the functions which remain on an England-only basis, such as secondary education, let us say, apart from teachers’ pay, and they would forget about Wales more as time went by.
I would not like to express complete confidence that it is just a teething problem, because what we tend to find is that ministers – I have never been a Whitehall minister, so I do not know but I would imagine that they are terribly busy people, and they have 150 per cent worth of problems to deal with 100 per cent of the time that they have, so they are always under pressure. So the thought that on top of the pressures that they have, they would like quite happily to spend a bit of time every week thinking about the implications of what they are doing in relation to Wales and the Assembly and our policies and so on, that is the last thing they want to have on their minds. So the fact that we slip off the radar screen does not surprise me. But I think we will get paid and they will get paid for solving the ragged edge problems. I do not think they are going to go away.
MR POMEROY: I think Ted Rowlands is right in the sense that there was a learning curve that officials and ministers in Whitehall and here have been going up very rapidly over the past few years. One thing that has changed is the tendency that we saw in the first year of devolution for disputes and disagreements to be elevated into great constitutional crises. Something happens there, so it proves that the Assembly is this or proves that the government is that, and harsh words were exchanged on both sides on a number of occasions. That is perhaps a natural tendency to make a large point to mask a detailed ignorance, whether that ignorance was in Whitehall or here. There are still certain differences of view that can become difficult, as, for instance, on Assembly learning grants and the benefits system, but the negotiation there is about the detail of benefit disregards. It is not about devolution or the Assembly’s trustworthiness or the UK Government’s recognition of our role or anything like that, so that is certainly an improvement.
MR MORGAN: I agree with Steve’s observations there. The problem in terms of the DWP and the benefits disregard for the introduction of Assembly learning grants was getting it into the ministerial box in Whitehall, because civil servants would say, "Sorry, the Minister is terribly busy with a parliamentary paper tomorrow or a green paper or something and that has taken up all the time and more, and we daren’t put it in the box," etc. So it was the problem of getting it on to the ministerial radar screen, not the fact that it was on the ministerial radar screen and there was a major punch-up going on because of a fundamental disagreement of principle. That was much more a characteristic of something that happened during 1999.
LORD RICHARD: Do you believe that? Do you believe the civil servants when they say "He’s too busy"?
MR MORGAN: I do not know whether to. I am not in a position to make any other observations.
LORD RICHARD: My modest experience is the better the minister, the less busy he is.
VIVIENNE SUGAR: Can we compare that with the Scottish situation, where we have had evidence that the Parliament in Westminster is still producing a lot of primary legislation that affects Scotland and something called the Sewel device is used?
MR MORGAN: This is why I have Hugh and Steve here, because I still do not understand what the Sewel thing is.
VIVIENNE SUGAR: What I am interested in is the mechanism for liaison between the Scottish Parliament in order to deal with this body of legislation when you are saying fairly clearly that, certainly in the early days, you could not get a Welsh perspective into ministers’ consideration in Whitehall. Do you know what the mechanism is?
MR MORGAN: I do not think that is what I said, to be honest. I do not think I was First Minister at the time, but there were a few fundamental clashes with one or two Whitehall ministries where there was a lot of overlap between their functions and ours, for instance, over whether to concede Henry VIII powers to us in certain areas. Those very much were bang in the middle of the ministerial radar screen in 1999, but I cannot actually give you chapter and verse because I was Economic Development Minister and slightly off centre, but I picked some of that up, and it was just about finishing as I became First Minister.
PETER PRICE: Can I pick up from a bird’s eye view perspective the whole issue of powers. In the light of your experience in the last three and a half years, two things. First, how would you sum up the arguments for and against on the issue of primary powers? The second thing is, our terms of reference refer to breadth as well as depth. What areas of the powers of the Assembly at the moment do you think need to be extended in breadth?
MR MORGAN: Those are fairly fundamental questions. I have tried to describe in my opening statement really my view on this, but let me try to repeat it and make it a bit more pointed. The important thing to me was to observe and assist the process of developing the innovative capacity of our machine, our machine in terms of ministers, our machine in terms of committees, our machine in terms of engagement with civil society to produce ideas, and then engagement with our civil servants to turn that into legislative form and then the assistance that they would get from Whitehall, First Parliamentary Council and all the rest of it, to knock it into shape in terms of being a bill and then an act, and the double scrutiny that it now gets through the draft bill procedure, which I thoroughly approve of. I was always a strong advocate of that when I was still an MP, but it does mean everything takes two years instead of one year, but that is perhaps an inevitable but not undesirable consequence of the settlement that we got.
Have we moved forward together, namely built the capacity at the same time as getting the bills through that we wanted? That is not to say every bill has gone through, but we think that we have had a healthy ratio of what we have put in for accepted into the Whitehall machine. I mentioned the Learning and Skills Bill, the Children’s Commissioner Bill and the Health (Wales) Bill. Both the Health (Wales) Bill and the Children’s Commissioner Bill had a very strange history, as did the Learning and Skills Bill. There is no such thing as a standard bill any more. With those bills, half of them was taken out and taken a year early by being put into an England and Wales measure and the remainder was done as a Wales-only bill the following year. That is a bit strange, but that is the way it happened. Had it been a year later, we would have objected and been a bit unhappy, but as they took some of the bills’ most exciting bits out and attached them to England and Wales bills so they would go through earlier, you cannot complain, can you? So the Children’s Commissioner was set up a year earlier than it otherwise would have been by being attached to the Care Standards Bill – I cannot remember the exact title – and that is good, not bad, but it meant that the bills, when the Wales-only bills eventually emerged, had been partially filleted by the best bits going in a year earlier.
Is this an unsatisfactory state of affairs, that we have only had two bills in three years compared to previously? Is it an unsatisfactory state of affairs by comparison with a Whitehall department bidding into the legislative hopper? I suppose probably – I do not know – that if you add up all the Whitehall bids in a year, there are probably about 60, and out come 25, 26, 27, depending on the length of the year or maybe before an election they might have 25 bills but they will all be very short ones, or maybe 15 bills of average size if there is an election and you are finishing in May instead of November. Have we been reasonably treated by comparison with other Whitehall departments? I think probably we have. I do not think there is any real basis for a complaint there.

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You could say Scotland have done a dozen bills a year, where we have been doing one per year, but there again, Scotland always were doing five a year through Westminster, so they have only just more than doubled whereas we have gone up by 500 per cent by comparison with the previous 25 years. There were four bills, a little burst in the mid Seventies with the WDA bills and a little burst around 1994 with the Local Government (Wales) and the Welsh Language bills. But really, those are the only Wales bills which went through from 1974 to 1997, 23 years. That is one every five years compared to five every year for Scotland. That is the question of the inherited corpus of Scottish legislation, which always needs modernising – bankruptcy, fostering and adoption, or whatever it is – five bills per year from Scotland, Scotland-only legislation through Westminster. So they have just more than doubled that to a dozen a year since setting up the Assembly. So we have had a bigger improvement from a smaller base, but we must not get too obsessed with the question of Wales-only legislation when the bulk of the new legislative power that responds to requests from us is in fact six clauses here, ten clauses there, two clauses here in England and Wales legislation, and occasionally a huge corpus of Welsh legislation as in the Learning and Skills Bill, which was overtaken by Whitehall wanting it to apply to England as well. There were over 70 clauses on Wales in that particular bill.
Just a very brief observation. Some of these areas as regards the ragged edges, in relation to rail, fire, police, and animal health, and the over 50 megawatt [DN: mW means "milliwatt"] power stations, the transfer of functions procedure, you could say in the history of the Welsh Office, in the early days, the transferred powers were big. There are not that many of them left now, but they are big in that sense, although obviously the whole Home Office or Lord Chancellor’s functions, if you wanted to go the whole hog of the Scottish functions, would be very big: police, prisons, fire, the courts. That would be a massive transfer of functions to the Assembly. I think that may be a long way away, but some of the ragged edges in relation to police and fire are of some interest because of the local government revenue settlement element in which we are involved, or sometimes we do the revenue and the Home Office or the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister does the capital, and that includes the loan charges becomes revenue so we do not know anything about the loan charges, which we will have to pay for, because the ODPM has funded the capital. I think you have heard all this before from Edwina Hart – but you can see there is a case for transfers of functions there to tidy up some of those ragged edges, but I am sure whatever you do to try and tidy up ragged edges, there will always be others.
LORD RICHARD: If you had had a blank sheet at the point of devolution, would you have tried to do it on the Scottish model, in which everything is devolved except that which is reserved, or would you still have tried to do it on the basis that we have done it?

MR MORGAN: I think that is a technicality really, to be honest, where you have to take advice from Parliamentary Counsel as to what was the cleanest way of actually wording the legislation. I think there is a separate issue, which is, should the opportunity have been taken to extend the powers, or should some of those ragged edges have been tidied up at the time in relation to police funding, fire funding, regardless of the policy function? Then possibly some minor adjustments should perhaps have been made. But you will recall just how controversial the whole devolution issue was, and therefore they thought, "Let’s just get devolution through and get a working system, and then you can look at these problems afterwards, through a Transfer of Functions Order." To be honest, I think that was probably the right way to handle it.

LORD RICHARD: That would get something through, I agree, but in terms of constitutional euphony, if I can put it like that, it seems to me an extraordinary position.
MR MORGAN: It is a matter of parliamentary drafting on which, to be totally honest, I feel totally unqualified to comment. Everybody was surprised by it at the time, that we had this marathon Act which specified what you got, and the Scottish Act was much simpler by specifying what you had not got. I am not qualified to comment on the reasons for that, but we were convinced at the time that parliamentary counsel had spoken, and they had undoubtedly spoken wisely, and we could not question that, and that was that.
MR POMEROY: To a certain extent it is inevitable when you are talking only on an executive basis when you say the Assembly has the power to do this, that or the other by reference to the existing statutes or the Assembly does not have the power to do this, that or the other. You are invariably going to get into detail and questions as to what is specifically devolved or is not specifically devolved. The first Transfer Order covered around a third of the statute book, we think. If you are talking about another arrangement, it will cover around two-thirds of the statute book. Whether it would have been any easier I doubt because of the very painstaking and occasionally very difficult negotiations.
MR MORGAN: I am sure some things inevitably were left out. We have had a few of those in the period since.
TOM JONES: (In Welsh, then interpreted) First of all, a comment. This comparison we have heard before and just now, that Wales has done relatively well in competition with individual departments of the UK government in the competition for time for bills and so on, is not a fair comparison, is it? The Government of Wales includes all of the individual departments, so you will have competition within the government for, say, an education bill, agriculture, health and so on. To compare a state that has already chosen its priorities as against a single department of another government I do not think is a comparison that makes much sense when you compare the Education Department of the Assembly with the Education Department in London. You could say they are in competition for a bill. That is a fair comparison.
We are talking of good government, and what I wanted to ask was what would assist the people of Wales in the longer term, hopefully. What I want to know is what you want from us as a Commission. Are you looking for a short-term solution to certain ills that exist at the moment? Are you looking in the short term for suggestions for the next 10 or 15 years in the European context, or are you looking for certain quick fixes? If we have to respond to a problem over time by saying, "Here is the solution to this problem, but first of all we have to reorganise the power so things will take two or three years longer to deal with it," are the people of Wales going to say that it is a drawn-out process that would have been relatively simple if you had had the powers from the outset?
MR MORGAN: (In Welsh, then interpreted) First of all, I do not accept your comment that it is an unfair comparison, but we will leave that. In the second instance, as far as this question of whether you are looking for a long-term solution rather than just finding a quick fix, I think that I am trying to give you evidence from my own experience. That is all I can do. The intention – and I can only reiterate this in response to your question – was that you build capacity to legislate and to make decisions on the implementation side as well as you can, and if you do find difficulties, can you actually solve those difficulties? Do you feel you are being fairly treated by Whitehall? Maybe not initially, but after discussion and fighting perhaps, do you achieve your aims or are there difficulties? Are those difficulties caused by the system itself? Those are the big questions.
All I can say from the point of view of my evidence is that we are starting by walking, then you walk more quickly, and then hopefully you can start running. Do we have the mechanism to allow us to do that without building that capacity? Do we expect in the medium to long term to hit the buffers, these barriers put up by Whitehall when they feel we are cutting across their responsibilities? I am not sure about that. We cannot anticipate what might happen, but so far I do think we are pushing at the door. Most of the time the doors are not open, but they are not locked, so we do not have to attack those doors with axes, but we can find ways round most of the difficulties. Eventually the question arises as to whether you believe that there is still change required, and is that change a fundamental change or is it something where you can have more flexibility within the existing system, or do you have to change fundamentally? If you do want fundamental change, will you have to return to the people of Wales with a referendum, or is there more flexibility you can find within the existing system?
Following the Assembly review of procedures, everyone accepts that we ought to separate the scrutiny side from the executive side, and we have done that in our own actions, but the question as to whether we want a more fundamental change is the burning issue. Do we need another change to the Act, and would that change raise the moral question as to whether we should go back to a second referendum before taking those steps, or it is in the spirit of the Act, although it is not implicit in the wording? Could you make those changes to give us more scope without changing the Act, and without another referendum? I do not think the people of Wales are interested in a second referendum.
PAUL VALERIO: We are very pleased to be here, but we are also interested to know what are the factors that determine the timing of the establishment of the Commission? Can you elaborate a little bit on that?
MR MORGAN: It arose from the Partnership Agreement, which was in October 2000, and it was part of the negotiations which resulted in the signing of the Partnership Agreement, and, if you like, it arose from the fact that the view taken by the Liberal Democrat party had been very strongly in favour of the Scottish model of devolution. So Labour naturally, having a sense of pride in their own baby, were quite pleased with the fact that devolution under the third model, not the fifth model, had got through, and I suppose you could say a review was sought as to whether on the basis of the evidence of the early experience of devolution some sort of different compromise might serve the people of Wales better.
PAUL VALERIO: Do you think perhaps, with the short time that the Assembly has been in existence, in view of the good evidence that we have had, would it not have been better had we waited perhaps a bit longer?
MR MORGAN: Before completing your work or before starting your work?
PAUL VALERIO: No, before starting.
MR MORGAN: You will have to tell me that really, as members of the Commission, but we took the view that it was not unreasonable to use the full first term of the Assembly to examine whether there was a case for saying, on the basis of the evidence, that such and such a problem was a teething problem, such and such a problem was not a teething problem but a fundamental problem, that the changes that had been made with all four parties’ support in terms of the so-called classical model, that is, the split between the executive and ministerial side and scrutiny and legislative side, which we are implementing, with the strong support of the four parties in the Assembly, that that principle could be extended further but only after an independent review which could look at it in the mode of taking evidence rather than in the mode of permanent arguments about whether Wales had been treated worse than Scotland or whether, as I have said, there are at least five schools of thought about devolution, and that is within my own party alone. If you throw in other parties, you get other views as well. We did not think it was unreasonable to look back at the first term by the time the Richard Commission finished its work and say such and such would be able to work better if such and such a change were made, on the basis of the evidence and on the basis of your discussions.
LAURA McALLISTER: Can I probe a little more on the issue of additional powers? In the evidence you gave to the House of Lords Select Committee you were very clear about seeking primary legislative powers in your own opinion, but you also say that you have never taken the view that we should have tax-varying powers. Clearly, with a constitutional and legal framework it is quite easy to separate the two areas, but in practical terms, nearly every institution that resembles a parliament in the world has tax-varying powers and particularly legislative powers, and I cannot think of any one that does not as a parliament. Could you explain to us why you are so clear that you would not wish to see tax-varying powers and whether you can envisage any alternative fiscal arrangement which would create a framework for accountability? It is a unique situation, obviously.

MR MORGAN: Indeed. I do not think you have given a fair account of what I said to the House of Lords, actually. If I can put it in the context in which I said it, what I said was that I had always held the view and did not now resile from the view that we could have primary legislative powers, and obviously I have mentioned earlier in describing the different strands of thought within the Labour party everything from no devolution, the Llew Smith view, across to the Wales Labour Action view, which at least one member of my Cabinet was a member of. So you had a full strand of opinion. If you ask me what my view was, then I was of the primary legislative powers but no tax-varying powers, and then when it was not that but was three, it was that middle version but possibly capable of expansion via use of some of the Henry VIII power.

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So those were my views, but we all compromise, do we not? When you are a member of a political party, you are not necessarily going to get your way if you stand under that banner. You are not going to win every time in a political party. You are going to become part of a manifesto programme and you stand on it. It is not as easy as saying, "Oh, yes, now I am in power I want to chuck away what we stood on as a manifesto," because you become loyal to the position which actually got through, and that is part of being in party politics.
As for your second observation, to be honest, I do not know what countries you have looked at, because as far as I am aware, the German Länder governments do not have tax-raising powers. They are extremely powerful legislatively but they do not have tax-raising powers.
LAURA McALLISTER: They have local income tax powers.
MR MORGAN: I do not think you are right about that. My information is that they do not have tax-raising powers. The German Länder are not tax-raising bodies, although they are extremely powerful in legislative terms. Even if I were wrong about that, and I do not think I am, I have never seen a problem with having primary legislative powers without tax-raising powers. People see the two as in some way morally linked; in other words, it is irresponsible to have the ability to legislate without the ability to pay for the legislation, but again, the Scottish experience tends to counter that, in that they have tax-varying powers and they are not using them. They do not find it necessary to use them, and they have passed, as I say, some 36 Acts of Parliament and a few private bills since coming into being, without use of tax-varying powers that they have. It tends to make them look like a dead letter.
LAURA McALLISTER: To come back on that, the German Länder clearly are not national parliaments. They are federal, locally based institutions, and clearly here we have a national institution in the Assembly which may or may not evolve into a national parliament. The other thing I wanted to bring your attention to – and I am sure you are familiar with it – is the report the Fabian Society published on taxation and citizenship. They make the case very strongly there for a link between taxation and democratic accountability, and they say very strongly that the Commission believes it to be a principle of citizenship and democratic accountability that elected governments should have the ability to determine their own expenditure levels, taking into account the wishes of the electorate. What I was putting to you in the second part of my question was, if you do not have tax-varying powers, how would you ensure that there are fiscal structures to determine some kind of independence over your budget?
MR MORGAN: Again, to go back to the German point, I do not accept your dismissing of the German Länder as being in some way local type bodies.
LAURA McALLISTER: They are not national bodies.
MR MORGAN: Their position in the German constitution is extremely strong. It is a written constitution, and our finest constitutional lawyers wrote it for them along with the finest American constitutional lawyers, but it is one which gives a very high degree of powers, including powers in international matters and EU negotiations which we certainly do not have, although we manage to get round that in the context of an unwritten constitution. But I do not accept your dismissing of them in that way.
The issue I mentioned earlier is that I accept that you can run a moral case for associating law-making powers with tax-raising powers, but, given the lessons from Scotland, I do not see the basis for saying that you cannot have primary law-making powers without tax-varying powers. If they have them, and they do not use them, and they are passing primary legislation at the rate of a dozen bills being turned into acts every year, it does tend to speak for the proposition that you do not have to associate the two. There is nothing immoral about it.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: Is it not historically true that the Scottish financial settlement within the United Kingdom prior to 1997 was exceptionally generous, more generous per head, in fact, than it was to Wales and its inhabitants? So the Scottish are in a position in which they have much more money than you have, but even they are having trouble, as I understand it, on, for example, care for the elderly, in financing their proposals on that. I rather agree with the proposition that was put, that it does seem odd that, if you are going to spend a lot of money on care for the elderly, you do not at the end of the day have to raise or justify to the electorate raising this money. The same is true of student fees, education, all sorts of things, where there has been a difference of view between Westminster, Whitehall, and Cardiff or Edinburgh. It is the rationale which I find rather difficult to follow.
TED ROWLANDS: No representation without taxation.
MR MORGAN: I know that you can run the moral case….
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: It is not moral; it is practical.
MR MORGAN: .…that it is irresponsible to have law-making powers without tax-raising powers, but I do not think it is right in the British context. As it happens, we operate in terms of international law. We do not have a written constitution, so whereas the German Länder, the Spanish devolved parliaments for Catalonia and the Basque country – the Basque country in particular has an extraordinary degree of tax-raising power; even your income tax is paid to the Basque parliament, and they give to central government what they think Madrid is supposed to get, but they do not have rights in international law. They cannot attend Council of Ministers’ meetings, whereas occasionally we do, and we have from time to time even led UK delegations. Why? Because we have all the flexibility of an unwritten constitution. What goes with that is that it is not laid down in law that there will be a resource transferring mechanism specifying that Wales should get X and that Scotland should get Y and that Northern Ireland should get Z. It is all dependent on an informal convention between the Treasury and the former Welsh Office, Scottish Office, and Northern Ireland Office, which has survived into a devolved settlement. You might say that is a nonsense too, but it has worked for 25 years. People do not want to re-open it. It is a can of worms, so leave it alone. That is the last thing you want to do just before devolution. There is always an election in Westminster or there is an election in Wales and Scotland, so do not open up this can of worms, because it is working well.

It would never happen in any country other than Britain, but in a British context there is no more reason for saying that you should have primary law-making powers and tax-varying powers and that that link must never be broken than to say that you should never have devolution without a prescribed resource transfer mechanism specifying exactly what Scotland should get and exactly what Wales should get. We do not have that. We have an informal convention; that is all. It is not laid down in law that we should get the power before the money. That is nothing involved that says it. There is not even a law that says we should get any other sum of money either. It is just dependent on good will and convention. Is that right? It may or may not be, but it is very British. We do not always want to open all the cans of worms at the same time.

LORD RICHARD: You draw a clear distinction between having tax-raising powers and not using them, and not having tax-raising powers.
MR MORGAN: Yes.
LORD RICHARD: It seems to me that the Scottish situation we have, in which you do not use it but it is there in reserve, in some ways is a more powerful situation than the one in Wales.
MR MORGAN: Did you say more powerful?
LORD RICHARD: Yes, powerful from the point of view of the government in Edinburgh itself, that they have that power as opposed to what you are advocating, that you should never have that power. What is the difference?
MR MORGAN: I think that the issue that Sir Michael raised earlier is much more acute for the Scots, particularly in adjoining areas of England, where they might say, "Yes, that is fine for the Scots to provide free personal care and abolish student fees, but why don’t they use their tax-varying powers to pay for it? Why should we be cross-subsidising it when we in the north-east of England are much poorer than they are anyway?" You can see that is a much more acute argument because they have the tax-varying powers. If they did not have them, that question would not arise.
VIVIENNE SUGAR: You do not think it will come up as England moves towards regional assemblies itself?
MR MORGAN: Depending exactly where English regional devolution goes, but certainly stage one of English regional devolution is very much regional development agency democratisation, if you like, and we are not talking about the big, across-the-board transfers of funding for things like health and education as a result of which I think for the north-east of England, which is slightly smaller than Wales in population now that Cumbria has been sheared off, they would only be talking about a budget of £500 million to cover the functions transferred, compared to the £10 billion that we have for slightly more population, so it is a very different model. Yes, English devolution at a regional level, if it takes place, if the dominoes all fall in that direction, the North East, Yorkshire, Humberside, Lancashire, Midlands, etc, and it ceases to be a regional development function, devolved and becomes similar to our powers, then that would pose the need for what you call the legislation formula for all the English regions and Wales and Scotland and Northern Island, which then has to be given a mathematical treatment by annual negotiations. That is roughly what happens in Spain and Germany.
PETER PRICE: You have talked about the way in which primary legislation has been achieved, in your terms quite successfully, through the relationship with Whitehall, but at the moment that relationship depends upon the rather benign conditions, indeed positive conditions, of the government there that actually created devolution and has some commitment to making it work, and hitherto, the largely similar parties in power in both places. Suppose that the differences increased in outlook between Westminster and Wales either along the lines of the clear water that you were talking about in your speech last night, or because following a future general election at some time a government of a very different political complexion came to power in Westminster. How could these primary legislative arrangements serve the interests of Wales in those conditions?
MR MORGAN: This is the $64 trillion question really of the robustness of the settlement in the circumstances of different colours of governments in Cardiff, Edinburgh and Westminster. It has obviously already occurred in Northern Ireland. It has to occur in Northern Ireland because UK parties do not stand in Northern Ireland and Northern Ireland parties do not stand in the UK. Stormont was a complete oddity for the 50 years of its existence. You can hardly study the Northern Ireland executive for form yet. I do not think it is a useful example to use, to be honest. So we do have to face up to that question. I put it in the past that if the third David Lammy administration in 2052 or something finally collapses and another party takes over in Westminster, and Labour are still in power in the Assembly or whatever, what happens? Is the settlement robust enough to cope with that? In other words, what happens when the Assembly says it desperately wants a piece of legislation and that piece of legislation is regarded as anathema by a Conservative government that has eventually come in Westminster? It is bound to happen some time.
I am not sure how different that is in a way to the problem of the House of Lords now. What you would need is something like a Salisbury Convention, something where it is in the manifesto and the manifesto is clear, and people have won power on the basis of that, and yes, they do not like it in Westminster but they have to accept it because it is in the manifesto, so rather similar to the way we have operated the House of Lords known as the Salisbury Convention, which has been in existence since 1946, in which the House of Lords agrees not to block. It holds its nose, it does not like it, but it will pass it anyway because it is in the manifesto, and you cope with the fact that you have a Labour government in the House of Commons and a Conservative majority in the House of Lords.
LORD RICHARD: That is a bit frail. Do not push the analogy too hard.
MR MORGAN: OK.

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SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: It is a powers issue on that, because at the end of the day the House of Commons in 1945, when this Convention was set up, had the Parliament Acts as a fallback, but in the other case, between the two governments, the fallback power really is to Westminster, because they can pass primary legislation which has in detail what should be done in Wales. So in a sense, the cannon has wheeled round to face in the other direction, and although there may be a practical argument why that should not be done, if you think of some of the legislation passed by the Conservative government under Mrs Thatcher in respect both of Wales and Scotland, they were not very well received, I think.
MR MORGAN: Now, you must not frighten little children in Wales by talking about the return of conditions like that! I think the important thing in what you are almost positing is that no country can survive without a written constitution, and that no element of the British constitution can cope with changes of government, that we do not have a procedure which prevents you changing. You have not got the situation where 75 per cent of all the states, all the Länder, in Germany must approve any change to do something regarded as a constitutional change. I think that is much too extreme a view, and I perhaps should not have mentioned the Salisbury Convention, but what I meant was something like the Salisbury Convention as adapted to the circumstances of devolution.
LORD RICHARD: That is a written understanding of the constitution.
MR MORGAN: Absolutely. There is nothing under the British system that can prevent an elected government with a parliamentary majority, provided it can get things through the House of Lords, doing whatever it wants. It could wind up the Assembly. It could do anything it likes, to be honest. There is nothing there to guarantee that that is not going to happen, but you have to say, is this something we should get worked up about now, or should we allow the process of time to entrench the institutions in Scotland and in Wales? We should rely on the fact that they survived their referendum hurdles, and therefore without a referendum, one imagines they would not be reversed, but there is no guarantee of that at all. Yes, never mind future Westminster governments. They are elected dictatorships in theory, but do we need to worry about that? It is a matter for everybody to put their finger in the air and look across the next 50 years and decide whether that is worth worrying about or not. I am in favour personally of a written constitution, and I think once the House of Lords and Euro issues have been solved, one way or another, there is a case for saying we have had so much constitutional change since 1997, with European human rights and devolution and English devolution and so on, why not try to write all this down? That is an entirely separate argument, which could take us a long time to discuss.
TED ROWLANDS: If that sort of situation arose under the existing structures or the structures laid down post devolution, that is where the Joint Ministerial Council will kick in at some stage. If that situation arose, does a British Prime Minister, a United Kingdom Prime Minister, have the right to override the views of the Scottish and Welsh First Ministers in the Joint Ministerial Council? What is the procedure? It has not arisen, but if you describe a situation where an issue of that kind is taken to a Joint Ministerial Council, a piece of legislation which is anathema to Scotland or Wales and therefore would trigger the dispute, what is the procedure?
MR MORGAN: I am not sure it was envisaged to deal with legislation, to be honest, but with executive disputes of some sort. "You are pinching our money for this, that or the other," whatever argument of that nature. It has not been put to the test. We have not had that formal usage of the JMC. It is a convention which is there in theory but has not yet built up any custom and practice. We are totally reliant on the evolution of custom and practice.
TED ROWLANDS: What does it say? If a dispute is brought to a Joint Ministerial Council, it has to be resolved by a consensus? It does not state that the UK Prime Minister can overrule his two colleagues?
MR MORGAN: No, but if there were a strong parliamentary majority which urged him to do that, I am not sure what you could do to stop it, to be honest. It is not meant to block legislation.
MR POMEROY: The JMC does not have any leverage systems at all. It certainly does not have any decision-making powers. It is a typical situation where "good chaps" sit round the table and come to a decision, a consensus. Ultimately, the power would lie where it lay. If it were a matter of the UK government wanting to put legislation through, it could walk away and still do it. If it is a matter devolved to Wales or Scotland, the Assembly or the executive could walk away and still do it. It is simply a forum for consensus and compromise.
PETER PRICE: So the best that has yet been proffered by way of answer to the question "What would you do relating to primary legislation if there were major differences between Wales and the UK Government?" seems to be ultimately to work towards a Salisbury-type convention, but if you had a Salisbury type convention, the timescale that would be involved would be lengthy in getting legislation there, because unless you had quite precisely defined what it was you were going to try and legislate about in a manifesto, and moreover, in the manifestos of parties represented by a majority of AMs in the Assembly, unless those pre-conditions were there, you would have to wait till the next Assembly elections and then be able to start pushing through that legislation. Are we not talking about a convention that does not exist, and if it did, a six-year timetable of potential blockage to get your legislation through?
MR MORGAN: I am not sure I have understood the second part. It is certainly true that there is no such convention at the moment, because there is no such problem at the moment. Is the devolution settlement sufficiently robust to cope with a change of government, either in Cardiff or in Westminster? As things stand now, you can see that there could be problems, but how would they be resolved? You look back at Stormont and it is not terribly relevant. You look at British ways of doing things in an unwritten constitution context really. We have always operated without a written constitution. Nobody would devise the House of Lords in a written constitution. You could not have a written constitution until you had completed the reforms of the House of Lords, so you operate by trying to devise methods which get round problems, even when those problems, we think, would normally cause civil wars in other countries.
MR MORGAN: I am not sure I have understood the second part. It is certainly true that there is no such convention at the moment, because there is no such problem at the moment. Is the devolution settlement sufficiently robust to cope with a change of government, either in Cardiff or in Westminster? As things stand now, you can see that there could be problems, but how would they be resolved? You look back at Stormont and it is not terribly relevant. You look at British ways of doing things in an unwritten constitution context really. We have always operated without a written constitution. Nobody would devise the House of Lords in a written constitution. You could not have a written constitution until you had completed the reforms of the House of Lords, so you operate by trying to devise methods which get round problems, even when those problems, we think, would normally cause civil wars in other countries.
LORD RICHARD: This is a plus, is it? I have never understood this British passion of a constitutional mess, that somehow or other we muddle through.
MR MORGAN: It has had great benefits for us, it has to be said, because the doors have been half-open, and when I compare our experiences with those of the Catalans and the Basques and the German Länder in terms of getting access to European Councils of Ministers and so on, our experience has been much, much better than theirs, despite their having very heavily protected, entrenched, constitutional positions that are written down and so on.

I am not sure I understood the point about the six years.

PETER PRICE: Perhaps I can elaborate. If shortly after an election you sought to achieve primary legislation, and were refused, there not being a clear enough commitment by sufficient parties in their preceding manifesto, you would have to wait four years till the next election, and then have the negotiations and potential blockages, in practice a couple of years to achieve it, i.e. total maximum six years – it could be less, of course, but typically somewhere in the four to six years timescale would be the blockage in the system.
MR MORGAN: People will have learned the trick really of saying you have to be pretty specific in the manifesto if you do not have a government of your strength in Westminster.
PETER PRICE: Which could change, of course, during the course of the term, even very shortly after you have held your election.
MR MORGAN: That is conceivable.
PETER PRICE: The question is the robustness of the system, and at the moment it seems that that system depends very much on a good working relationship between Cardiff and Westminster.
MR MORGAN: Yes, but also, do not underestimate the power of entrenchment over the years in getting people to work a system and then to work round ideological differences. That could happen, yes. Post-war consensus did break down in the Eighties, as we know, and that is one of the fascinating aspects of post-war history. Everybody seemed to have agreed on everything in the Forties, Fifties and Sixties and Seventies, and then it suddenly stopped. You have to cope with shocks to the system of that nature. It could happen again. I do not know. The normal experience is not there.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: Just to qualify one of your responses, you referred to the European experience, that you have done so well in European matters, you have led delegations.
MR MORGAN: I have not, but ministers have, our Cabinet ministers.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: You have particular knowledge of Europe because of your own career, but we have been told that in other areas, which are more domestic to the UK, some ministers have been pretty successful and others have not – that is what it has really come down to – in getting what they wanted for all sorts of reasons, which have been slightly implied to us. Does one not have to qualify this success story and say in certain areas you have done awfully well, especially Europe and with certain departments, but in other areas – and one which has been noted is relations with the Home Office. I do not know whether that is true but this is what has been suggested – the Welsh administration has been less happy, less fortunate. That is actually one of the reasons, I suppose, why we are here.
MR MORGAN: Yes, I do not disagree with that. There are ragged edges and there is a league table, and the Home Office would probably be quite proud to be somewhere near the bottom of it. It is one of those things.
LAURA McALLISTER: Can we go back to the issue of powers and finance? I did not feel we had had a complete answer to the second part of my original question, which was about what would happen if you did not have tax-varying powers but you did have primary legislative powers. You are aware of our terms of reference – you and your colleagues wrote it for us – and that is a very important part of our deliberations. What I am trying to get at is, what would happen if there were a clash between your policy objectives with the primary legislation you were seeking to pursue and your financial capacity? What kind of new fiscal/financial arrangements, disciplines and so on would be necessary? Looking at the Fabian Society report, the Commission’s report on public spending, taxation and so on, there are various things mentioned there, and a lot relate to local government, but if you are arguing the case – you see to be from your House of Lords evidence – that tax-varying powers are not necessarily linked to primary legislative powers, what might change?
MR MORGAN: I am not trying to argue the case. I was merely re-stating the position that I had held in the run-up to the compromise on which my party fought the 1997 election and the 1997 referendum and the 1999 Assembly campaign, and saying you do not get everything that you want in politics. But the issue of the range of possibilities from the one that we have now to the one that we have now plus some greater flexibility of the Henry VIII clause implied type, or something of having the position that I privately held during the arguments, namely law-making powers, no tax-levying powers, to the full Wales Labour Action view of tax-varying powers and primary law-making powers – the Scottish model, if you like – what is the implication for all of those of making any change in that range at all?
I think your question seemed to be based on the fact that there is always a quantum of money which is changed by legislation, and if you have a quantum of money of X, and you pass a law, then you are going to need X plus one, or if you pass two laws you are going to need X plus two, to pay for the consequences of the laws that you pass. I do not think it works like that.
LAURA McALLISTER: It may do, it may not do. If you do not have powers, you do not have the capacity to remain in the situation.
MR MORGAN: That is right, but if you think of the Westminster equivalent of that, and you say, OK, every time Westminster passes a law they may need additional taxes in order to pay for the consequences of those laws, it does not actually work like that at all. You raise taxes, and you engage in public borrowing on what you regard as prudent, and you estimate what you think that will be, and the legislative process is quite independent of that. It is very hit or miss. I think this sort of fixed quantum idea of the need for a law to either result in you having an extra million in taxes or 2 million in taxes is really quite unrealistic, and you cannot find a parallel for that in the Westminster taxation process and the Westminster legislative process. I do not think they move in parallel at all.
EIRA DAVIES: First Minister, if I may ask some questions in Welsh. The first one is about the corporate body.
(In Welsh, then interpreted) With the body corporate, the powers have been separated between the Assembly and the Assembly government. How much life is left in the body corporate?
MR MORGAN: (In Welsh, then interpreted) I do not quite accept the statement. I accept the question exactly as it has been posed, apart from the preamble, because the problem is to the contrary, that is, the body corporate does not mean there is a split. It means there is no split or separation in the legal sense, and therefore, if you wanted to take a case before a court of law against the Assembly, it would be against the body corporate. You will have seen the use of the phrase "corporate body" in Scotland, but they are just talking about the parliament and the new building. They use the phrase "Scottish Parliament corporate body" when they consider the parliament rather than what the executive is actually doing. We have extended or stretched the elastic as far as we possibly can within the law, but does it actually entail a fundamental frustration to what we are trying to do?
EIRA DAVIES: (In Welsh, then interpreted) Is there scope for having separation there then?
MR MORGAN: (In Welsh, then interpreted) Yes, more than now. I would never try to deny that it is a nuisance that the first sentence of the first clause of the Government of Wales Act has the phrase "corporate body" in it. Everybody accepts that there is a nuisance element to that, and there is not that kind of narrow definition in the Scottish Act. I am not saying it is not a corporate body. They have had to develop a body corporate regarding the parliamentary issues solely, and everything else comes under the law of the corporate body, but there is flexibility. We have tried to develop that flexibility to the maximum, with the support of each one of the four parties represented in the Assembly.
EIRA DAVIES: (In Welsh, then interpreted) Assuming that there were a split or separation, at present the subject committees have a dual role: they scrutinise and contribute to policy formulation. Would they be able to achieve this work if there were a separation or a split?
MR MORGAN: (In Welsh, then interpreted): I will bring Hugh in to answer that question in greater detail than I could do. It must be said that the subject committees themselves, I think, find it inconvenient occasionally and from time to time, but not all the time, because they are able to move from the scrutiny role to the policy formulation role in the same session, with the minister sitting amongst them as a full member, but the minister is in the dock during the scrutiny session. Should you have separate scrutiny session so that everybody understands that the minister would have to sit as I am now, on this side of the table, and with the other committee members on the opposite side? We are not saying that. To be honest, there are a number of examples you could name where the subject committee has contributed greatly, for example, on the Learning and Skills bill that I named yesterday, as the most important thing that we have accomplished during the first 12-18 months of the existence of the Assembly, and recently, from the point of view of the Economic Development Committee carrying out an inquiry into sustainable energy and energy generation in Wales. They are freelancing more in doing that side than they are doing at present in the sustainable energy policy study in Wales. We are not responsible for that because there is much greater freedom to freelance when you are dealing with a subject that has been decided upon in Westminster, not in the Assembly government. The subject committee could have three functions therefore, namely scrutiny, contributing to the Assembly government policy or the Assembly corporately, or freelancing from the point of view of making recommendations in a non-devolved subject although all the strategic decisions are taken in Westminster or Europe. Would we be at a loss if we were to change things? I am not sure.
EIRA DAVIES: (In Welsh, then interpreted) Is it a healthy thing that the minister is part of the subject committee?
MR MORGAN: (In Welsh, then interpreted) Sometimes it is a disadvantage, and I do not think that you could say that it has been a total failure, but from the point of view of the original bill, the Learning and Skills Bill, certainly the contributions came from a committee and the government side. They were all contributing together to a bill and at the end of the day, and Westminster liked the bill so much that they implemented it in England as well.
MR RAWLINGS: Can I unpack a couple of things from a historical perspective? First of all, so far as the corporate body was concerned, can I explain what we thought we were doing when we said we needed a corporate body. You have to go back to the fact that this was a scheme of executive devolution, and that the powers were being conferred on the Assembly. The Assembly therefore had to be given legal personality. Ministers have legal personality; they are corporations sole. Local authorities have legal personality; they are corporations aggregate. What we were doing was simply giving the National Assembly, as the recipient of the functions, the legal personality to discharge them, to enter into contracts and so on and so forth. To sue and be sued. That is why in exactly the same way the Scottish Parliament corporate body has been established. It is a body which, in the absence of that, could not enter into contracts, for example, to put up large palaces at the bottom of the hill there. They are the body which enters into the contracts. That is their nature.

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There was historically no connection between that purely legal necessity, as we thought it, and the question of ministerial membership of the subject committees. That was motivated by a quite different political proposition, which was that the Assembly had to be inclusive. Inclusivity was achieved by, on the one hand, the electoral system, which enabled a broad range of people to be elected, but on the other hand, we needed to have within the Assembly itself mechanisms to enable al the parties to contribute, and it was therefore thought the best way of doing that was, rather than having the committees work as they do in the Westminster context, only tangentially touching the ministerial policy-making function, to have the ministers there all the time so that all the parties could be putting their views to the minister and then the minister reached the policy.
That inclusivity idea, as I say, was a distinctive political objective at the time, which was widely shared across the board, I think. I remember when the bill was going through, no discussion was complete without the stress on the need for inclusivity, but it had nothing to do with the corporate body. That was a technical thing, but where I think we got it wrong, with the benefit of hindsight, was that we needed to give the Assembly legal personality so that it could effectively discharge its executive functions, but that did not really take adequate account of the Assembly operating in deliberative mode as distinct from executive mode. That is I think where the problem was.
LORD RICHARD: That tendency has grown.
MR RAWLINGS: Yes.
LORD RICHARD: And is likely to continue to grow.
MR RAWLINGS: Yes.
LORD RICHARD: So the corporate body concept is going to creak increasingly as time passes.
MR RAWLINGS: So much depends on the nature of the settlement. If the settlement stays as it is, various inventive ways have been found to make the corporate body not be a terrible constraint. If you change the nature of the settlement, if that were the outcome, the corporate body would presumably go. The corporate body is a consequence of the settlement; it is not any more than that.
TED ROWLANDS: Can we explore that? Let us say, for example, we are asked to consider the implications of any change of powers. Let us take the example of transferring primary legislative powers and look at the consequences of that on the system. Do I take it from your remarks this morning that if you grafted, for example, a primary legislative function on to the committee structures and the rest of it, that that would make the body corporate concept creak more?
MR RAWLINGS: I suspect it probably would.
TED ROWLANDS: In what respect?
MR RAWLINGS: I think the question you would have to ask is from what authority do ministers get their powers?
TED ROWLANDS: Ministers would come and take the bill through a committee presumably whatever the system; you do not have to go down the Westminster system. There will be a lead minister taking a bill through a committee in one form or another, and that will raise additional questions over the status of that minister. Is that what you say?
MR RAWLINGS: I think that is right. One of the other aspects to this is that under our system at the moment, ministers operate on behalf of the National Assembly. That is not their relationship to the UK Parliament, for example.
TED ROWLANDS: So if legislation were added, it certainly would mean some significant change to the whole concept of the body corporate. It would be the last nail in the coffin.
MR RAWLINGS: It would continue to creak.
MR POMEROY: There are different aspects to that. Not to make any predictions about what Assembly primary legislation might look like, but at the moment statutes of any length include powers to make subordinate legislation. I would say that the proposition that the Assembly would, in enacting primary legislation, confer powers on itself is a little bit circular. Take clause X: "The Assembly may by order do something."
TED ROWLANDS: A divorce would have to take place.
MR POMEROY: Yes.
TED ROWLANDS: The Assembly conferring powers on ministers to actually carry out subordinate legislation.
MR POMEROY: Which at the moment ministers do not have, because they are part of the body corporate.
LORD RICHARD: De facto, in the absence of a written constitution, that is what is happening. It is, is it not? Ministers are pretty autonomous, although they sit on the individual committees.
MR MORGAN: Do you mean in Westminster or with us?
LORD RICHARD: No, here.
MR MORGAN: I am trying to think of what is the legal personality of a minister, and you could say it is defined by the first clause of the Act, but on the other hand, what defines the powers of ministers in Westminster or in the Scottish Parliament? In Westminster it is custom and practice, deriving from the transfer of powers from the Crown to the government over the centuries, bit by bit; when the people stopped being the Lord High Admiral of the Treasury and becoming Prime Minister, whatever. It all just happens over the centuries and nobody quite notices it or challenges it but it just happens, and then you know, and it is sui generis. Nobody sets it out; it is never defined. The Scottish Parliament is not defined. It just says, "There shall be a Scottish Parliament," full stop.
LORD RICHARD: That was not meant to define anything.
MR MORGAN: Absolutely. So why are we defined? We are, and we have to accept that, but you can un-define it; you do not have to define it in another way. You just say these are the same sui generis powers and everybody understands what they are by custom and practice, even though they are not set down. They are not set down in Scotland. They are not set down in Westminster. But they are set down in Wales, and that is the restriction.
TED ROWLANDS: We know there is a body corporate, and we have created this system. The assumption that a lot of witnesses have told us is that immediately you have primary legislative powers, you have to increase the size of the Assembly. Secondly, it would have an implication for both the numbers at Westminster and the role of the Secretary of State at Westminster, because the evidence that we have received is very much that one of the central roles of the Secretary of State is being a broker of legislation between Westminster and the Assembly. Could we explore the consequences? Do you feel from your experience that if you had legislative powers transferred, you would have to increase the size of the Assembly? Do you think that is an automatic consequence?
MR MORGAN: No, I do not think so. It is not a consequence at all. The right numbers of MPs and the right numbers to cope with the work and the right number of Assembly members is a complete mystery to me. I was an MP for 14 years. My work as a backbencher doubled in a year, in 1992, with the Child Support Agency, Disability Living Allowance, and the rise in immigration cases. I did not know why, but we were snowed under in a year. You could say, "Twice the number of MPs then, please, increasing to 1,172," or whatever, but that is not going to happen. Or you could say, if you can cope with it on the basis of your 1992 workload, why was it not previously only half that, with 330 MPs? It just does not happen like that. It is never as fixed and clear as that. So I do not see why there is any consequence that a so-called increase in work equals increase in numbers required. It is not the experience of the House of Commons at all
LORD RICHARD: That may be so, that there is no automatic link between increasing the workload and the number of Members. Do you think you have enough Members now?
MR MORGAN: I do not think it is a problem, to be honest with you. It is occasionally a problem. I have heard distinguished backbenchers saying the workload is far higher for a backbencher in the Assembly than it is for a backbencher in Westminster, because you are tied down, you cannot pick and choose what you do, you cannot decide to run a campaign on X, Y or Z, which you can do in the House of Commons. Backbenchers in the House of Commons have the freedom to develop campaigns on subjects that interest them, and the person concerned, who has experience of both, said you just do not have the time to do that. They said there is more work. I cannot verify that, not having been a backbencher here in this context.
Turning to the second half of your question, Ted, obviously the role would change. The role of the Secretary of State is threefold, it seems to me. One is promoting legislation. Clearly, the Secretary of State for Scotland does not do that, and the Secretary of State for Wales does, and is the main one in the Legislation Committee to argue for one bill, more bills or whatever, or the incorporation of the Welsh clauses in England and Wales bills. The third function is the financial settlement. Obviously, the Secretary of State’s function in Scotland and Wales is identical there. You are promoting the budgetary interests of Wales and Scotland respectively.
TED ROWLANDS: You would lose one of three functions.
MR MORGAN: That is right, yes. Then you mentioned MPs. I think that is one of these peculiar things where there is a bit of custom and precedent. It is not laid down in law, but in Britain we always go on custom and precedent. When Stormont was established, Northern Ireland representation was cut by a third, as I seem to remember. There was no particular reason for a third; it could have been half or seven-eighths, but it was thought a third was about right because of Stormont. Again, with the Scottish Parliament, it is much smaller than that. About a 15 per cent cut is going through the House now.
TED ROWLANDS: The figures given to us were that if we did the equivalent of Scotland, we would have to cut 7 Members of Parliament. Do you think that is a reasonable consequence…
MR MORGAN: …of the Scottish model, the full Scottish model?
TED ROWLANDS: Yes.
MR MORGAN: I think it would be very difficult to avoid that if we went for a Scottish model, because of custom and practice. There is nothing laid down. There is no mathematical consequence of it to say, "Well, you will be doing less work, because you would not be able to ask questions on so many subjects," but with the Stormont and Scottish precedent, could you ever avoid that?
TED ROWLANDS: The West Lothian question.
MR MORGAN: It is arguable that it is a load of nonsense, but it is very difficult given the British reliance on custom and precedent, but if it happened in 1922 in Stormont, if it is happening in 2002 in Scotland, then it would have to happen in Wales if we had the Scottish model or the Stormont model. I have never been an advocate of those, so it is not a matter I have ever discussed with my Westminster colleagues.
LORD RICHARD: How does your position differ from the Scottish one except for the tax-raising?
MR MORGAN: That is a fairly fundamental difference.
LORD RICHARD: That is the big difference?
MR MORGAN: Yes, but with the Scottish model you are also talking about the breadth thing. You would be talking about the prisons, the courts, and the police and fire and things out of that bag.
LORD RICHARD: I thought you were in favour of fire and police coming to Cardiff.
MR MORGAN: That is an issue which you take on its own. Is the time ripe for an acquisition of what you might call a major additional function like prisons and other Home Office functions, policy matters in relation to police, policy matters in relation to fire, which are with the ODPM, and eventually administration of the courts? That is the equivalent in the history of the Assembly at some stage in the future – do not ask me when – of some of the major changes that occurred in the life of the old Welsh Office without the implication for the numbers of MPs, when you transferred, say, Trade & industry or Health or Agriculture or Education, which occurred in the late Sixties/Seventies/Eighties, or whatever, once every five years. There are not many left now, but those are the two obvious ones, police and courts. When it should be done, and what the implications are to bring us into line with Scotland, obviously that is one of them.

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LORD RICHARD: You would approve of that package coming to Cardiff at some stage in the future?

MR MORGAN: I am First Minister. I am not going to argue for less functions of the Assembly. Now and again we are offered functions which we do not take, such as S4C. We were asked did we want the function of administering S4C and we said no, but there are examples where we have rejected functions because we did not want them. There are functions which we got which we did not ask for but which we did accept, like health matters relating to prisoners, because that has been a very longstanding Labour proposal, to have the Department of Health in England and us in the Assembly looking after the prisons. We said "Give us the money, and obviously we will do it," because it is a very longstanding manifesto commitment going back about 40 years. We could hardly say no to that. But the big stuff like that is a big chunk to be taken when you think that the time has come to take that chunk, depending, again, on what Whitehall and Westminster think about it. Is that something that you are ready for? It is not something that was difficult at all. It probably did not require legislation, Orders in Council for all the transfers of functions that took place in the old Welsh Office. I do not think any of those required legislation, but it is a much bigger issue when it is a transfer to a different body with a different chain of command which does not at the top finish up with the British Cabinet.

SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: You have been arguing very persuasively about the way we do things within the British Isles.

MR MORGAN: I am First Minister. I am not going to argue for less functions of the Assembly. Now and again we are offered functions which we do not take, such as S4C. We were asked did we want the function of administering S4C and we said no, but there are examples where we have rejected functions because we did not want them. There are functions which we got which we did not ask for but which we did accept, like health matters relating to prisoners, because that has been a very longstanding Labour proposal, to have the Department of Health in England and us in the Assembly looking after the prisons. We said "Give us the money, and obviously we will do it," because it is a very longstanding manifesto commitment going back about 40 years. We could hardly say no to that. But the big stuff like that is a big chunk to be taken when you think that the time has come to take that chunk, depending, again, on what Whitehall and Westminster think about it. Is that something that you are ready for? It is not something that was difficult at all. It probably did not require legislation, Orders in Council for all the transfers of functions that took place in the old Welsh Office. I do not think any of those required legislation, but it is a much bigger issue when it is a transfer to a different body with a different chain of command which does not at the top finish up with the British Cabinet.

SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: You have been arguing very persuasively about the way we do things within the British Isles.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: If you think of the role of the Secretary of State, going back to precedent, when people have stopped having very much to do, they generally in the long term have gone or been put together.
MR MORGAN: There has been so much talk of merging the three Secretaries of State, and people had thought that it might happen post 2001. It did not. Whether if Northern Ireland became a totally peaceful area it would then get back on to the agenda, I do not know. It is probably less on the agenda now than it was in the year 2000 or 2001, to be honest.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: It would be in accord with your general approach, would it not?
MR MORGAN: I would not resist that change. Provided Northern Ireland is in a completely integrated, peaceful, happy state, you can see why Northern Ireland would not require its own Secretary of State. If you could find the right person, with antecedents in Ireland, Scotland and Wales, who would promise to do chapel, church and so forth….
LORD RICHARD: You would lose your advocate.
MR MORGAN: You would have a third of the time with the advocate. You would not have lost the advocate. My recent experience, for instance, with the Department of Work and Pensions over the disregard has tended to re-emphasise the value of the Secretary of State, and leaving aside the Northern Ireland problem, it is just off the agenda, you have to have a Secretary of State for Northern Ireland. The Good Friday Agreement produced a sense of euphoria that peace in Northern Ireland was just around the corner and being able to fully devolve things to the Northern Ireland Executive and Assembly does not look as promising now as it looked in 1999. Remember, they were set up six months before us, but they are back off the agenda now. Obviously we all cross our fingers, but it would be a very brave man or woman who would predict now that Northern Ireland was ready for full devolution, without having its own Secretary of State.
TED ROWLANDS: The other implication is the financial one. Is there any possible financial implication arising from any of our proposals? It will be quite difficult to explore what is going to be a financial implication of transferring primary legislative powers. The Voice in Wales: if you look now at those figures, the figures of the cost of the Assembly, the figures of what the new Welsh Office was going to be, an extra £172 million – it is, what, £440 million? It is nearly double. The cost of additional running costs of the Assembly was going to be between £15-20 million, and I suspect that has been a bit of an under-estimate. One would therefore have to be sceptical about any suggestion that it was not going to cost very much more to transfer the powers and therefore create an additional resource. Have you any idea how we are going to work that out?
MR MORGAN: How many additional civil servants do you need in order to generate more policies and bills? I would find it impossible to calculate, to be honest.
TED ROWLANDS: In our remit you have asked us to do it.
MR MORGAN: I guess that the way to do it would be to try to get an estimate from the Scots as to what part of their running costs arises from the function of generating bills per se, and then you give us costs related to how many bills you think we would be generating. I do not know.
MR POMEROY: I was speaking to a colleague in Edinburgh earlier this week. He tells me that the increase in Scotland has been almost entirely within their Legal Department. They used to have 50-odd lawyers; they now have 83. You have to add to that the Lord Advocate’s Department, which is a separate department up there, in terms of core legal expertise, but in terms of policy officials, the extra work has been largely absorbed from existing resources. That is not hard and fast fact.
TED ROWLANDS: They were fulfilling legislative functions before.
MR POMEROY: Indeed, and that is the position, as I understand it, in Scotland.
SIR MICHAEL WHEELER BOOTH: A Labour government was manna from Heaven for lawyers.
PETER PRICE: Can I ask a general question about process? If you looked at the constraints which you face day in, day out, what are the main constraints on achieving the objectives of the Assembly?

MR MORGAN: It is the law of unintended consequences. It is not the relationship with Whitehall and Westminster; it is what Harold Macmillan called "Events, dear boy, events." It is the firefighter’s strike or foot and mouth disease or Corus announcing their closure programme, the Hatfield train crash, Cabinet ministers who cannot agree with each other on who is supposed to be responsible for what. The function of Prime Minister or First Minister only exists because things do not run smoothly, and therefore somebody has to help to oil the wheels and make sure they run smoothly or respond to a crisis and decide whether it is a Force 8 crisis, a Force 7 crisis, a Force 10 crisis or whatever, and you have to get involved and do it. That is what I am paid for.

PETER PRICE: But you oil the wheels of a system. What is there in the system that provides the constraints?
MR MORGAN: I do not think I can deliver some great gnomic proverb to cover the problems of the system, because I enjoy trying to find a way of delivering something that does not involve knocking down the walls of the system but involves operating within the system, with a lot of creative effort and thought. That is what I think I am good at, and that is what I think has been the characteristic of the Assembly, to find a way around the problems, and by and large we have.
PETER PRICE: Is that also true when, for example, you are putting together your legislative bids, that they are calculated according to the capacity of Whitehall or the willingness of Whitehall and Westminster to accept those bids rather than a reflection of what in the idea world you would want for Wales?
MR MORGAN: I did not think that Westminster was going to accept the bid for St David’s Day to be made a Bank Holiday, and I was right, but we had voted on it and so it was put forward, and it was, after a great deal of deliberation, rejected. If we had thought, "Right, don’t put anything forward which you think is going to cause a fluttering in the hen coops in Whitehall," we would not have put that forward, because we would have said, "Look, on a range of 80 per cent likelihood of getting passed to 40 per cent likelihood, that would have definitely have been below 50 per cent," but it had been voted on, it is an important issue, inevitably, in terms of patron saints’ days a somewhat emotional issue – it always is; well, it is not in England, but in Wales and Ireland it is, less so in Scotland, and non-existent in England – so we put it forward, but we knew, because of the disparate treatment, that employers would say, "Hang on a minute. One day extra off in Wales. A very bad thing for business in Wales." That view was then taken by those in charge of the Bank Holidays Unit within the Home Office or DTI, or whoever runs policy on Bank Holidays.
LORD RICHARD: First Minister, I think you have been very generous with your time. We have had a very interesting morning. We have learned a great deal. Thank you very much for coming.

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Yn ôl i'r Brig